OSCAR PREDICTIONS
AND OTHER END-OF-2004 LISTS
By Scott Bettencourt
Predictions are in boldface, followed by those which I personally would
nominate in italics. As with previous lists, for several categories I have
NOT provided my own nominations, since frankly I know jack about costumes,
sound and so forth.
PICTURE
THE AVIATOR
MILLION DOLLAR BABY
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES
RAY
SIDEWAYS
BEFORE SUNSET
ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
THE INCREDIBLES
THE KEYS TO THE HOUSE
TIME OF THE WOLF
ACTOR
JAVIER BARDEM - The Sea Inside
DON CHEADLE - Hotel Rwanda
JOHNNY DEPP - Finding Neverland
JAMIE FOXX - Ray
PAUL GIAMATTI -- Sideways
JAVIER BARDEM - The Sea Inside
JEFF BRIDGES - The Door in the Floor
DON CHEADLE - Hotel Rwanda
JAMIE FOXX - Ray
EMILE HIRSCH - The Mudge Boy
ACTRESS
ANNETTE BENING - Being Julia
JULIA ROBERTS - Closer
IMELDA STAUNTON - Vera Drake
HILARY SWANK - Million Dollar Baby
KERRY WASHINGTON - Ray
LAURA DERN - We Don't Live Here Anymore
LAURA LINNEY - P.S.
ANNE REID - The Mother
HILARY SWANK - Million Dollar Baby
KERRY WASHINGTON - Ray
SUPPORTING ACTOR
THOMAS HADEN CHURCH - Sideways
JAMIE FOXX - Collateral
MORGAN FREEMAN - Million Dollar Baby
JAMES GARNER - The Notebook
CLIVE OWEN - Closer
DAVID CARRADINE - Kill Bill Vol. 2
THOMAS HADEN CHURCH - Sideways
MORGAN FREEMAN - Million Dollar Baby
CLIVE OWEN - Closer
PETER SARSGAARD - Kinsey
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
CATE BLANCHETT - The Aviator
VIRGINIA MADSEN - Sideways
NATALIE PORTMAN - Closer
MERYL STREEP - The Manchurian Candidate
KATE WINSLET - Finding Neverland
EILEEN ATKINS - Vanity Fair
CATE BLANCHETT - The Aviator
LYNN COLLINS - The Merchant of Venice
CHARLOTTE RAMPLING - The Keys to the House
FENELLA WOOLGAR - Bright Young Things
DIRECTION
CLINT EASTWOOD - Million Dollar Baby
TAYLOR HACKFORD - Ray
MIKE NICHOLS - Closer
WALTER SALLES - The Motorcycle Diaries
MARTIN SCORSESE - The Aviator
GIANNI AMELIO - The Keys to the House
ALFONSO CUARON - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
MICHEL GONDRY - Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
MICHAEL HANEKE - Time of the Wolf
RICHARD LINKLATER - Before Sunset
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
THE AVIATOR - John Logan
ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND - Charlie Kaufman, Michel
Gondry, Pierre Bismuth
HOTEL RWANDA - Terry George, Keir Pearson
KINSEY - Bill Condon
RAY - James L. White, Taylor Hackford
ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND - Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry,
Pierre Bismuth
IN GOOD COMPANY - Paul Weitz
THE INCREDIBLES - Brad Bird
KINSEY - Bill Condon
SPARTAN - David Mamet
SCREENPLAY ADAPTATION
CLOSER - Patrick Marber
FINDING NEVERLAND - David Magee
MILLION DOLLAR BABY - Paul Haggis
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES - Jose Rivera
SIDEWAYS - Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
BEFORE SUNSET - Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Kim
Krizan
THE DOOR IN THE FLOOR - Tod Williams
FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS - David Aaron Cohen, Peter Berg
MILLION DOLLAR BABY - Paul Haggis
SIDEWAYS - Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor
CINEMATOGRAPHY
THE AVIATOR - Robert Richardson
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS - Zhao Xiaoding
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS - Emmanuel Luzbeki
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST - Caleb Deschanel
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA - John Mathieson
EXORCIST: THE BEGINNING - Vittorio Storaro
HIDALGO - Shelley Johnson
KILL BILL VOL. 2 - Robert Richardson
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS - Emmanuel Luzbeki
SPIDER-MAN 2 - Bill Pope
ART DIRECTION
THE AVIATOR
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
THE TERMINAL
CODE 46
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
THE LIFE AQUATIC WITH STEVE ZISSO
THE TERMINAL
A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT
COSTUME DESIGN
THE AVIATOR
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
RAY
VANITY FAIR
SOUND
COLLATERAL
THE INCREDIBLES
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
FILM EDITING
THE AVIATOR - Thelma Schoonmaker
COLLATERAL - Jim Miller, Paul Rubell
MILLION DOLLAR BABY - Joel Cox
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA - Terry Rawlings
RAY - Paul Hirsch
THE AVIATOR - Thelma Schoonmaker
THE BOURNE SUPREMACY - Richard Pearson, Christopher Rouse
DAWN OF THE DEAD - Niven Howie
ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND - Valdis Oskarsdottir
KILL BILL VOL. 2 - Sally Menke, Joe D'Augustine
SOUND EFFECTS EDITING*
COLLATERAL
THE INCREDIBLES
SPIDER-MAN 2
SONG
"BELIEVE" - The Polar Express - Alan Silvestri, Glen Ballard
"CRAZY 'BOUT MY BABY" - Meet the Fockers - Randy Newman
"LEARN TO BE LONELY" - The Phantom of the Opera - Andrew Lloyd Weber,
Richard Stilgoe
"OLD HABITS DIE HARD" - Alfie - Mick Jagger, David A. Stewart
"WILL THE SUN EVER SHINE AGAIN" - Home on the Range - Alan Menken,
Glen Slater
"AMERICA - F**K YEAH" - Team America: World Police - Trey Parker
"END OF AN ACT" - Team America: World Police - Trey Parker
"FREEDOM ISN'T FREE" - Team America: World Police - Trey Parker
"LET'S GO SEXIN'" - A Dirty Shame - George S. Clinton
"LITTLE PATCH OF HEAVEN" - Home on the Range - Alan Menken, Glen
Slater
ORIGINAL SCORE
FINDING NEVERLAND - Jan A.P. Kaczmarek
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS - Thomas Newman
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST - John Debney
SIDEWAYS - Rolfe Kent
THE TERMINAL - John Williams
THE AVIATOR - Howard Shore
BIRTH - Alexandre Desplat
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN - John Williams
THE INCREDIBLES - Michael Giacchino
THE VILLAGE - James Newton Howard
MAKEUP*
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST
THE SEA INSIDE
HELLBOY
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST
THE SEA INSIDE
VISUAL EFFECTS*
THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW
I, ROBOT
SPIDER-MAN 2
THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW
I, ROBOT
A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT
ANIMATED FEATURE*
THE INCREDIBLES
THE POLAR EXPRESS
SHREK 2
HOME ON THE RANGE
THE INCREDIBLES
SHREK 2
And finally, as always, here are my nominations for a
category which doesn't actually exist but damn it, it ought to:
TITLE DESIGN
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
THE INCREDIBLES
THE LAST SHOT
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
SPIDER-MAN 2
TEN FAVORITE FILMS OF 2004
BEFORE SUNSET
DAWN OF THE DEAD
HAROLD & KUMAR GO TO WHITE CASTLE
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
IN GOOD COMPANY
THE INCREDIBLES
KILL BILL VOL. 2
SPARTAN
SPIDER-MAN 2
TEAM AMERICA: WORLD POLICE
TEN FAVORITE FILM MUSIC CDS OF 2004
THE CORE
THE GREAT ESCAPE: THE DELUXE EDITION
THE GREAT TRAIN ROBBERY: THE DELUXE EDITION
THE INCREDIBLES
JERRY GOLDSMITH AT 20TH CENTURY FOX
LOGAN'S
RUN (TV)
THE
MAN FROM U.N.C.L.E. VOL 3 FEATURING THE GIRL FROM U.N.C.L.E.
MUTINY
ON THE BOUNTY
THE
SHOES OF THE FISHERMAN
TIMELINE (GOLDSMITH)
15 MORE FILM MUSIC CDS I ESPECIALLY ENJOYED IN 2004
THE AGONY AND THE ECSTASY: THE DELUXE EDITION
AMERIKA
BANDOLERO!
BASIC INSTINCT
BIG
WEDNESDAY
BIRTH
BORN
FREE
DIRTY HARRY
THE FANTASY FILM MUSIC OF GEORGE PAL
FUTUREWORLD
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
HIDALGO
NARROW MARGIN
SKY CAPTAIN AND THE WORLD OF TOMORROW
TEAM AMERICA: WORLD POLICE
TEN BEST COMMERCIALLY UNRELEASED FILM SCORES OF 2004
AFTER THE SUNSET - Lalo Schifrin
COLLATERAL - James Newton Howard
ENDURING LOVE - Jeremy Sams
THE LADYKILLERS - Carter Burwell
THE LAST SHOT - Rolfe Kent
THE MACHINIST - Roque Banos
THE MUDGE BOY - Marcelo Zarvos
THE POLAR EXPRESS - Alan Silvestri
SECRET WINDOW - Philip Glass, Geoff Zanelli
STARSKY & HUTCH - Theodore Shapiro
MY IMPOSSIBLE DREAM WISH LIST OF CDS TO COME OUT IN
2005
BLACK SUNDAY
DAMNATION ALLEY
FAMILY PLOT
INDIANA JONES AND THE TEMPLE OF DOOM (complete)
THE LIST OF ADRIAN MESSENGER
THE MONSTER SQUAD
THE SATAN BUG
SECONDS
STAR TREK V: THE FINAL FRONTIER (complete)
THE VALLEY OF GWANGI
MY FAVORITE THINGS FROM THE MOVIES OF
2004
Alex MacDowall's production design for The Terminal
Alfonso Cuaron's direction of Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The attack of the panthers from Team America: World Police
The big special effect from The Forgotten (if you've seen it,
you'll know what I mean; if you haven't, I don't want to give it away)
Bill Pope's cinematography for Spider-Man 2 and Team America:
World Police
Billy Bob Thornton in The Alamo and Friday Night Lights
Charlotte Rampling's final scene at the train station from The Keys
to the House
The cinematography (Emanuel Luzbeki), art direction (Rick Heinrichs),
visual effects and end title sequence from Lemony Snicket's A Series
of Unfortunate Events
Claire Danes in Stage Beauty (not that it's her best work --
I'm just always glad to see her)
The close-up of Imelda Staunton at the dinner table as she realizes
that her life as she has known it is now over, from Vera Drake
David Krumholtz' description of Katie Holmes' nude scene from The
Gift, in Harold & Kumar Go To White Castle
The fight scenes from House of Flying Daggers
Hero finally getting released in the U.S. and getting the boxoffice
it deserved
Jeff Bridges in The Door in the Floor
Michael Giacchino's score for The Incredibles
A new wave of bold scoring from European composers -- Alexandre Desplat's
Birth,
Roque Banos' The Machinist, Jeremy Sams' Enduring Love and
Alberto Iglesias' Bad Education
The opening sequence of Enduring Love
The pre-credits apocalypse from Dawn of the Dead
"Prepare yourself for suffering" - The Keys to the House
The return of genuinely funny movies - Anchorman: The Legend of Ron
Burgundy, Eurotrip, Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle, The Ladykillers,
The Last Shot, Mean Girls, Shaun of the Dead, Team America: World Police
(though only barely any of them made even as much money as White Chicks)
The romancing-the-bag-of-pot montage from Harold & Kumar Go to
White Castle
The running gag about Gwyneth Paltrow's last roll of film in Sky
Captain and the World of Tomorrow, and especially its punchline
Ryan Reynolds and Parker Posey in Blade: Trinity
Shelley Johnson's cinematography for Hidalgo
The strafing of the refugees in Strayed
A thousand visual glories from The Incredibles, including a colorful
swarm of tropical fish in a tank behind Edna Mole's head, and the shots
of the villain's island complex under an evening sky.
Tom Hanks in The Ladykillers
Topher Grace in In Good Company
Uma Thurman and Daryl Hannah fight to the death in a trailer in the
desert -- Kill Bill Vol. 2
The video epilogue to Dawn of the Dead
The visual effects and cinematography (Ueli Steiger) from The Day
After Tomorrow
Will Ferrell and Steve Carrell in Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
*The following are the Academy's shortlists in
the categories for which shortlists are made:
ANIMATED FEATURE
CLIFFORD'S REALLY BIG MOVIE
DISNEY'S TEACHER'S PET
GHOST IN THE SHELL 2: INNOCENCE
HOME ON THE RANGE
THE INCREDIBLES
THE LEGEND OF BUDDHA
THE POLAR EXPRESS
SHARK TALE
SHREK 2
SKY BLUE
THE SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS MOVIE
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BORN INTO BROTHELS
HOME OF THE BRAVE
HOWARD ZINN: YOU CAN'T BE NEUTRAL ON A MOVING TRAIN
IN THE REALMS OF THE UNREAL
RIDING GIANTS
THE RITCHIE BOYS
THE STORY OF THE WEEPING CAMEL
SUPER SIZE ME
TELL THEM WHO YOU ARE
TOUCHING THE VOID
TUPAC: RESURRECTION
TWIST OF FAITH
MAKEUP
THE AVIATOR
DE-LOVELY
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
HELLBOY
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST
THE SEA INSIDE
SOUND EFFECTS
THE AVIATOR
COLLATERAL
THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW
THE INCREDIBLES
THE POLAR EXPRESS
RAY
SPIDER-MAN 2
VISUAL EFFECTS
THE AVIATOR
THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW
HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN
I, ROBOT
LEMONY SNICKET'S A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS
SKY CAPTAIN AND THE WORLD OF TOMORROW
SPIDER-MAN 2
These are some of the 50 films eligible for Best Foreign Language Film
this year:
THE ALZHEIMER CASE (Belgium)
THE CHORUS (France)
CHRONICLES (Ecuador)
DOWNFALL (Germany)
EARTH AND ASHES (Afghanistan)
FAR SIDE OF THE MOON (Canada)
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS (China)
I LOVE CINEMA (Egypt)
INNOCENT VOICES (Mexico)
THE KEYS TO THE HOUSE (Italy)
LONG DARK NIGHT (Croatia)
MEIN NAME IST BACH (Switzerland)
NIGHT WATCH (Russia)
NOBODY KNOWS (Japan)
PRODUCING ADULTS (Finland)
SCHWAAS (India)
THE SEA INSIDE (Spain)
TAE GUK GI: THE BROTHERHOOD OF WAR (Korea)
WHISKY (Uruguay)
YESTERDAY (South Africa)
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